OUT OF SIGHT,
NOT OUT OF REACH
The Global Scale and Scope
of Transnational Repression
As part of this “political warfare,”178 the Putin government
frequently builds influence networks through corrupt and
corrupting means, disseminates disinformation, builds
alliances with antiliberal parties and political actors, and
conducts hacking operations. The government does all this
while resisting and avoiding attribution, unlike in overt and
clearly attributed public diplomacy efforts or soft-power
efforts that rely on persuasion and attraction.
The Russian campaign accounts for 7 of
the 26 assassinations or assassination
attempts since 2014.
The Kremlin’s approach to transnational repression extends
naturally from this “political warfare” concept. When
selecting individual targets, the Kremlin focuses its efforts on
those who may have defected to NATO member states and
cooperate with their intelligence agencies, those who were
considered to have previously engaged in armed conflict
against Russia, or those who have run afoul of security
services through business or political activities. A surprisingly
common tactic is assassination; former intelligence officer
Alexander Litvinenko was successfully killed via radiation
poisoning in 2006,179 while a nerve agent was used in the
attempted assassination of former intelligence officer
Sergei Skripal and daughter Yulia in 2018.180 At a minimum,
in Ukraine, Bulgaria, Germany, and the United Kingdom, the
Kremlin has shown a willingness to kill perceived enemies
abroad.181 These attacks also come against the backdrop of
numerous unexplained deaths of high-profile Russians in
exile, their business partners, and other potential targets
of the Russian state.182 Even in cases where the evidence
is unambiguous—the use of rare radioactive isotopes and
nerve agents only available to the Russian government, or
the clear identification of Russian intelligence agents—the
government continues to deny its role. Most importantly, it
continues to employ assassination as a tactic in the face of
vocal international condemnation for doing so. In addition
to eliminating the individual attacked, this overt campaign
sends a message to anyone involved in political, intelligence,
or business activities related to the Russian state. The ripple
effect of each assassination goes beyond the individual.
This assassination campaign exists within a continuum
alongside other tactics. The Kremlin is perhaps the world’s
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most prolific abuser of the Interpol notice system. As other
governments have found, Interpol notices and diffusions
(see “Methods of Transnational Repression”) are low-cost
means for the Kremlin to harass and detain exiles.183 The
Kremlin’s targeting of financier Bill Browder through Interpol
Red Notices has made the tool famous,184 but it uses the
tactic to an extraordinary extent, and often against targets
far less prominent. Without more transparency at Interpol,
it is difficult to determine why or how the Kremlin is able
to use its notice system so extensively. Nevertheless, Russia
is responsible for a staggering 38 percent of all public Red
Notices in the world, while the United States is responsible
4.3 percent and China 0.5 percent.185 Russian authorities
have even been able to use Red Notices to detain individuals
residing in the United States for long periods of time.186 For
instance, in two separate public cases in the last two years,
Russian asylum seekers spent over a year in Immigration and
Customs Enforcement (ICE) detention based on Russiansourced Interpol Red Notices.
Beyond the abuse of Interpol, Russians abroad who are
engaged in high-profile political opposition face surveillance
and sophisticated hacking campaigns with the same
techniques the government uses against high-priority national
security targets.187
The Kremlin combines these tactics with efforts to control
the key pillars of the Russian community abroad—the Russian
Orthodox Church, Russian-language media, and Russian
cultural institutions. Since the dissolution of the Soviet Union,
the Russian government has regained control over official
cultural institutions with a presence abroad; this is especially
true of the Orthodox Church, which reunited in 2006 under
President Putin’s leadership with the Russian Orthodox
Church Abroad, which emerged following the Russian
Revolution.188 In 2008, Moscow launched Rossotrudnichestvo
(Federal Agency for the Commonwealth of Independent
States Affairs, Compatriots Living Abroad, and International
Humanitarian Cooperation) to coordinate activities meant
to facilitate engagement with the diaspora, as well as other
formal “soft power” activities.
Unlike other governments, like Rwanda’s, the Kremlin’s
transnational repression campaign does not seek to
control the entire Russian diaspora with coercion.
Instead, the regime’s domestic repression drives activists
and others out of the country, seemingly on purpose.
Despite Putin’s increased rhetoric surrounding the
importance of “compatriots” abroad and the creation of
#TransnationalRepression